Indonesia Targets $1.3 Billion in Coffee Export Revenue by 2026
The Indonesian Coffee Exporters Association (AEKI) targets coffee export revenues of $1.3 billion in 2026 despite projected production declines due to weather conditions.
Jakarta – The Indonesian Coffee Exporters Association (AEKI) has set a target for national coffee exports in 2026 to reach between 5 million and 5.5 million bags. With each bag weighing 60 kilograms, the total export value is projected to generate approximately USD 1.3 billion in foreign exchange revenue.
Moelyono Soesilo, Head of the Specialty and Industry Department at AEKI’s Central Board (BPP AEKI), stated that the target reflects stable global demand for Indonesian coffee, even though domestic production is expected to decline this year.
According to Moelyono, Indonesia’s coffee export markets continue to be dominated by countries that have long been key trading partners for Indonesian coffee.
“Our export target for 2026 is around 5 million to 5.5 million bags. Each bag weighs 60 kilograms, with total foreign exchange revenue estimated at around USD 1.3 billion. The largest export markets remain established destinations such as the United States, Egypt, Malaysia, Germany, and Italy,” Moelyono said.
Weather Impacts Coffee Production
Despite optimistic export projections, Indonesia’s coffee production is expected to decline this year compared to the previous year. According to AEKI, unfavorable weather conditions have significantly affected harvest yields in several major coffee-producing regions.
“Production is expected to decrease by around 15 to 20 percent compared to last year due to weather factors,” Moelyono explained.
Even with the anticipated production decline, industry players remain hopeful that global demand for Indonesian coffee will remain strong. Continued demand is expected to help maintain Indonesia’s coffee exports as a significant contributor to the country’s foreign exchange earnings.
Indonesia’s Coffee Trade Surplus
Indonesia’s coffee trade performance has remained positive in recent years. From January to October 2025, the country recorded a coffee trade surplus of USD 2.32 billion.
During the same period, the largest export destinations for Indonesian coffee were:
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Philippines – 11.7% market share
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United States – 10.6%
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Belgium – 9.2%
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Germany – 8.6%
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Malaysia – 6.1%
These figures highlight the continued strong international demand for Indonesian coffee, which is widely known for its diverse flavor profiles and high-quality beans sourced from various regions across the archipelago.
Strengthening Indonesia’s Coffee Industry
Industry stakeholders believe that maintaining export performance will require improvements in productivity, quality control, and climate resilience within the coffee sector. Strengthening collaboration between farmers, exporters, and government institutions will also be crucial to ensuring the sustainability of Indonesia’s coffee industry in the global market.
With global demand remaining relatively stable, Indonesia’s coffee exports are expected to continue playing a vital role in supporting national economic growth and foreign exchange earnings.
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